Civil Aviation
Airshow China 2016: Airbus highlights Asia-Pacific growth prospects
Airshow China 2016: Airbus highlights Asia-Pacific growth prospects
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| Staff writer 244 mots

Airshow China 2016: Airbus highlights Asia-Pacific growth prospects

At Airshow China 2016, Airbus is highlighting forecasts for growth in the Asia-Pacific region.

In the latest market forecast, Airbus predicts that the region will account for 13,239 new deliveries through 2035 (40% of global demand), including almost 6,000 for China.

The Asia-Pacific market share is more than that of Europe (20%) and North America (17%) combined. The total Asia-Pacific fleet is expected to increase from 5,659 to 14,685 over this period.

Among the main growth drivers identified by Airbus:

  • Asia-Pacific will continue to lead world economic growth according to forecast, with an average real GDP growth of 4.1% per year over the next 20 years.
  • Domestic sources of growth, particularly private consumption, will play a larger role in coming years. In China for example, private consumption will grow to contribute just over 40% of China’s total GDP.
  • Chinese middle class households already exceed the number in the US, and will be more than double by 2024.
  • Deregulation will continue to play a role in driving growth in the region. The number of routes between China and ASEAN states has more than doubled since 2009 for example.
  • Low cost carriers, whilst present and playing a role in increasing the accessibility of aviation in the region, have opportunity to grow inter-regionally. Some 25% of Asian inter-region seats are flown by these airlines, compared with over 40% in Europe. China and Japan in particular have a lower share than other Asian countries like Malaysia and the Philippines.

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