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Airbus re-segments its market forecasts on 20 years © Airbus

| Alexandre Rocchi

Airbus re-segments its market forecasts on 20 years

Airbus forecast a market for more than 39,000 commercial aircraft in the next twenty years. Forecasts taking into account the arrival of the Airbus A220 in the catalogue, the launch of the A321LR and XLR and the stop of the Airbus A380.

Airbus unveils its first market forecasts from the arrival of the A220 in its catalogue, to the launch of the versions LR and XLR of the A321neo as well as the stop of the A380 program. Three major events leading Airbus to re-segment the needs of the global market in the next twenty years. If the demand for new commercial airlines is still rising with a global need estimated to a little over 39,000 aircraft in the period 2019-2038 (8,470 aircraft continuing to be operated), the demand is organized in three capacity categories: A220/A320neo, A330/A330neo and A350 XWB families, respectively qualified of “Small”, “Medium” and “Large”. The concept of single-aisle and twin-aisle aircraft disappear, as for the long-haul. And with good reasons, as the arrival of the Airbus A321LR and XLR has shaken these concepts since the two versions, because of their flying range, “can be categorised as Medium”, along with the A330/A330neo, specifies Airbus’ specialists. Nevertheless, “while the core market for the A330 is classified as Medium, it is likely a number will continue to be operated by airlines in a way that sits within the Large market segmentation along with the A350 XWB”. Hence, the market needs in the next twenty years subtly evolve with 29,720 new airplanes awaited for aircraft encompassed in the capabilities covered by the A220/A320neo families while demand for aircraft such as the A321LR/XLR/A330/A330neo is estimated at 5,370 planes. Lastly, the A330/A330neo/A350 XWB they cover needs for capacities valued 4,120 aircraft.

Airbus

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